MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard SE
Match details. NB III. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. MTK Budapest II have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Sarbogard SE have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. MTK Budapest II score 2.5 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. MTK Budapest II average 3.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Sarbogard SE score 0.8 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sarbogard SE average 3.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: MTK Budapest II are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make MTK Budapest II the likelier winners; MTK Budapest II are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MTK Budapest II. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: MTK Budapest II 3-1 Sarbogard SE (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).