Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Pulpileno have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W D. FC Cartagena B have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. CA Pulpileno score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Pulpileno average 9.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.6 cards a game. FC Cartagena B score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Cartagena B average 10.0 shots (4.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 72% (CA Pulpileno: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; FC Cartagena B: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: CA Pulpileno 1-1 FC Cartagena B (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).