SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 4

PKPAS

16:30Sat 31 Oct

CDD

Pasaia KE vs CD Derio

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

PKv

Double Chance: Draw or CD Derio

Pasaia KE v CD Derio

Spain Amateur - Tercera… · 16:30

1.34odds

75%book

+1edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 4. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Pasaia KE have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. CD Derio have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D W W.

The numbers. Pasaia KE score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Pasaia KE average 7.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game. CD Derio score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Derio average 10.1 shots (3.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The case against. Pasaia KE's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. CD Derio to win. A tight game. CD Derio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Derio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Derio at 1.34, rated 75% (CD Derio unbeaten in 7 of 8; Pasaia KE failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Pasaia KE 0-1 CD Derio (10% chance).

The agreed story. CD Derio or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Derio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CDD 8 of 8 (100%) · PAS 4 of 5 (80%)77.8%

CD Derio: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Pasaia KE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level

Double Chance: Draw or CD DerioMAININ CODES

1.34

CDD 7 of 8 (88%) · PAS 3 of 5 (60%)76.4%

CD Derio unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Pasaia KE failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 79% · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level

CD Derio (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.61

CDD 4 of 5 (80%) · PAS 3 of 5 (60%)72.1%

CD Derio won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Pasaia KE lost 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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PAS 5 of 5 (100%) · CDD 8 of 8 (100%)97%

Pasaia KE: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Derio: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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PAS 3 of 5 (60%) · CDD 8 of 8 (100%)82.7%

Pasaia KE: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Derio: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level

PASAIA KE GOALS

Pasaia KE Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

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PAS 3 of 5 (60%) · CDD 5 of 8 (62%)43.3%

Pasaia KE scored in 3 of 5 at home · CD Derio conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level

CD DERIO GOALS

CD Derio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CDD 6 of 8 (75%) · PAS 4 of 5 (80%)61.2%

CD Derio scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Pasaia KE conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · CD Derio: only games against sides at Pasaia KE's level · Pasaia KE: only games against sides at CD Derio's level

Left off the list: CD Derio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Derio to Win (the numbers (41%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CD Derio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.1%

Pasaia KE goals →

CD Derio goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PASAIA KELLLDWWWLLL1.00 PPG

CD DERIODDDDWWWDLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PASAIA KE HOMExCD DERIO AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.123.50CARDS A GAME3.25

TRENDS

Pasaia KE have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Derio have scored in 80% of their games.

Pasaia KE kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

CD Derio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards