Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 17. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. UD Fraga have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. CD Brea have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. UD Fraga score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Brea score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 90% on the records (UD Fraga: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CD Brea: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: CD Brea or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Brea Over 0.5 Goals (UD Fraga's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Fraga 0-0 CD Brea (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).