SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 13

CCCOT

16:30Sat 31 Oct

UCA

Cotillas CD vs UCAM Murcia II

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Cotillas CD have won three, drawn one and lost three of their last seven league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L L. UCAM Murcia II have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L D D.

The numbers. Cotillas CD score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cotillas CD average 6.7 shots (3.5 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. UCAM Murcia II score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. UCAM Murcia II average 9.6 shots (5.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The case against. Cotillas CD's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. UCAM Murcia II to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make UCAM Murcia II the likelier winners; UCAM Murcia II are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cotillas CD 1-2 UCAM Murcia II (9% chance).

The agreed story. UCAM Murcia II or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

UCAM Murcia II or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 7 of 10 (70%) · COT 7 of 7 (100%)76.7%

UCAM Murcia II: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cotillas CD: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COT 7 of 7 (100%) · UCA 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Cotillas CD: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia II: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

COT 6 of 7 (86%) · UCA 9 of 10 (90%)88.9%

Cotillas CD: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia II: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level

COTILLAS CD GOALS

Cotillas CD Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.50

COT 5 of 7 (71%) · UCA 9 of 10 (90%)62.7%

Cotillas CD scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia II conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level

UCAM MURCIA II GOALS

UCAM Murcia II Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 9 of 10 (90%) · COT 7 of 7 (100%)95%

UCAM Murcia II scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cotillas CD conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COT 5 of 6 (83%) · UCA 7 of 9 (78%)80.6%

Cotillas CD's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia II's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia II's level · UCAM Murcia II: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level

Left off the list: Cotillas CD or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs UCAM Murcia II); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Cotillas CD or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs UCAM Murcia II)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.2%

Cotillas CD goals →

UCAM Murcia II goals ↓

0-05%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-36%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.6%

1-50.9%

2-50.7%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

COTILLAS CDWDLLWLW1.43 PPG

UCAM MURCIA IIDDDLWDDLWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

COTILLAS CD HOMExUCAM MURCIA II AWAY

1.43SCORED A GAME2.101.43CONCEDED A GAME1.400%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.33CORNERS A GAME3.673.33CARDS A GAME2.56

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Cotillas CD have scored in 71% of their games.

UCAM Murcia II have scored in 90% of their games.

Cotillas CD kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

UCAM Murcia II kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards