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Atletico Santa Cruz vs Union Molinense CF 2020

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Santa Cruz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D D. Union Molinense CF 2020 have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D W L.

The numbers. Atletico Santa Cruz score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Atletico Santa Cruz average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Union Molinense CF 2020 score two and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Union Molinense CF 2020 average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Santa Cruz 1-1 Union Molinense CF 2020 (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Union Molinense CF 2020 the favourite), a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
Atletico Santa Cruz: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Union Molinense CF 2020: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Union Molinense CF 2020's level · Union Molinense CF 2020: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)81%
Atletico Santa Cruz: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Union Molinense CF 2020: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Union Molinense CF 2020's level · Union Molinense CF 2020: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
ATLETICO SANTA CRUZ GOALS
Atletico Santa Cruz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UNI 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%
Atletico Santa Cruz scored in 5 of 5 at home · Union Molinense CF 2020 conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Union Molinense CF 2020's level · Union Molinense CF 2020: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
UNION MOLINENSE CF 2020 GOALS
Union Molinense CF 2020 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)52%
Union Molinense CF 2020 scored in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Santa Cruz conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Union Molinense CF 2020: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Union Molinense CF 2020's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UNI 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Atletico Santa Cruz's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Union Molinense CF 2020's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Union Molinense CF 2020's level · Union Molinense CF 2020: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
Atletico Santa Cruz goals →
Union Molinense CF… goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO SANTA CRUZWLWLWDDDWW1.80 PPG
UNION MOLINENSE CF 2020WDLWDLWDWD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO SANTA CRUZ HOMExUNION MOLINENSE CF 2020 AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.442.22CARDS A GAME3.56
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Atletico Santa Cruz have scored in 100% of their games.
Union Molinense CF 2020 have scored in 70% of their games.
Atletico Santa Cruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Union Molinense CF 2020 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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