Match details. Meistriliiga Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Harju JK Laagri have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. FC Elva have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. Harju JK Laagri score 0.6 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Harju JK Laagri average 3.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game. FC Elva score 1.2 and concede six a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Elva average 4.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Harju JK Laagri 2-2 FC Elva (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Harju JK Laagri the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).