Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 16. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cp Calasancio have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. CD Berceo have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Cp Calasancio score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cp Calasancio average 4.8 shots (2.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CD Berceo score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CD Berceo average 9.0 shots (5.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The case against. Cp Calasancio's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. CD Berceo to win. CD Berceo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Berceo.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Berceo (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Cp Calasancio 0-1 CD Berceo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).