Sporting Atletico vs El San Martin Ra
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time.
Form. Sporting Atletico have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. El San Martin Ra have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Sporting Atletico score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Sporting Atletico average 10.0 shots (5.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. El San Martin Ra score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. El San Martin Ra average 6.2 shots (2.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting Atletico are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sporting Atletico the likelier winners; Sporting Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Atletico. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); El San Martin Ra Over 0.5 Goals (Sporting Atletico's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sporting Atletico 1-0 El San Martin Ra (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).