Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Lerumo Lions FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L L. Pretoria University FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D D.
The numbers. Lerumo Lions FC score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lerumo Lions FC average 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Pretoria University FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Pretoria University FC average 8.8 shots (3.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Pretoria University FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Lerumo Lions FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Lerumo Lions FC the likelier winners; Lerumo Lions FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lerumo Lions FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Lerumo Lions FC or Draw at 1.21, rated 78% (Lerumo Lions FC unbeaten in 8 of 10; Pretoria University FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Lerumo Lions FC 1-0 Pretoria University FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. Lerumo Lions FC or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).