AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj vs Chelmianka Chelm

Match details. III Liga, Group 4, Group IV - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj are 15th on 14 points after 14 games, level on points with Korona Kielce II, 1 point clear of Podlasie Biała Podlaska. A win would take them above Korona Kielce II. Chelmianka Chelm are 1st on 34 points after 14 games, 5 points clear of KSZO 1929.

Form. AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj have gone L L L W L W. Chelmianka Chelm have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. In this competition Chelmianka Chelm have gone W D W D W D.

The numbers. AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj average 8.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Chelmianka Chelm score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chelmianka Chelm average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 53%.

The read. No firm call: Chelmianka Chelm are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chelmianka Chelm the likelier winners; Chelmianka Chelm are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chelmianka Chelm. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chelmianka Chelm or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AKS 1947 Busko Zdroj 1-2 Chelmianka Chelm (10% chance).