Lech II Poznan vs MKS Flota Swinoujscie
Match details. III Liga, Group 2, Group II - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Amica Wronki Stadium.
What's at stake. Lech II Poznan are 6th on 21 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Stargard Szczeciński, 1 point clear of Noteć Czarnków. A win would take them above Stargard Szczeciński. MKS Flota Swinoujscie are 14th on 15 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Grom Nowy Staw, 3 points clear of Chemik Bydgoszcz. A win would take them above Grom Nowy Staw.
Form. Lech II Poznan have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition Lech II Poznan have gone W L L W D W. MKS Flota Swinoujscie have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition MKS Flota Swinoujscie have gone D L L L L L.
The numbers. Lech II Poznan score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Lech II Poznan average 7.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. MKS Flota Swinoujscie score 0.9 and concede two a game in their last seven away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. MKS Flota Swinoujscie average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. Lech II Poznan have won all of the last four meetings. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Lech II Poznan 3-1 MKS Flota Swinoujscie.
The case against. MKS Flota Swinoujscie's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Lech II Poznan to win. An open game. Lech II Poznan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lech II Poznan; the meetings favour Lech II Poznan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.50, 71% on the records (Lech II Poznan: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; MKS Flota Swinoujscie: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); MKS Flota Swinoujscie Under 1.5 goals (Lech II Poznan's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Lech II Poznan Over 1.5 goals (MKS Flota Swinoujscie's own games don't back it (3 of 7)). Predicted score: Lech II Poznan 2-1 MKS Flota Swinoujscie (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).