Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pantami Stadium, Gombe.
What's at stake. Doma United FC are 10th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Kano Pillars, 1 point clear of Ikorodu City. A win would take them above Kano Pillars. Ikorodu City are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Doma United, level on points with Katsina United. A win would take them above Doma United.
Form. Doma United FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. Ikorodu City have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Ikorodu City have gone D L W L D W.
The numbers. Doma United FC score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Doma United FC average 13.6 shots (6.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Ikorodu City score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ikorodu City average 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. Doma United FC to win. A tight game. Doma United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Doma United FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Doma United FC 1-0 Ikorodu City (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).