Valencia CF Mestalla vs UD Castellonense
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Valencia CF Mestalla have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. UD Castellonense have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L.
The numbers. Valencia CF Mestalla score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Valencia CF Mestalla average 9.5 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. UD Castellonense score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. UD Castellonense average 10.7 shots (5.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 61%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No firm call: UD Castellonense are the better side, but not at this price. UD Castellonense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Castellonense.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Valencia CF Mestalla 1-1 UD Castellonense (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).