Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sioni Bolnisi have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L L. Odishi have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Sioni Bolnisi score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Sioni Bolnisi average 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Odishi score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Odishi average 4.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Sioni Bolnisi the likelier winners, but Odishi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sioni Bolnisi.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sioni Bolnisi 1-1 Odishi (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Sioni Bolnisi the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Sioni Bolnisi: up and down in the league (L W L L L). Odishi: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).