FSFCS

15:00Sat 31 Oct

SFC

FC Samtredia vs SFC Shturmi Sartichala

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Samtredia have won five, drawn none and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W W L. SFC Shturmi Sartichala have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. FC Samtredia score 3.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Samtredia average 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. SFC Shturmi Sartichala score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. SFC Shturmi Sartichala average 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Samtredia the likelier winners, but SFC Shturmi Sartichala are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Samtredia. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Samtredia 1-1 SFC Shturmi Sartichala (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Samtredia the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. FC Samtredia: lost their last two league games (L L W W L). SFC Shturmi Sartichala: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W D W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · SFC 5 of 5 (100%)92.4%

FC Samtredia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at SFC Shturmi Sartichala's level · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · SFC 4 of 5 (80%)82.2%

FC Samtredia: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at SFC Shturmi Sartichala's level · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · SFC 2 of 5 (40%)72.1%

FC Samtredia: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at SFC Shturmi Sartichala's level · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 56%

1.80

FCS 1 of 5 (20%) · SFC 2 of 5 (40%)35%

FC Samtredia: under 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 at home · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 54% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at SFC Shturmi Sartichala's level · SFC Shturmi Sartichala: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Left off the list: SFC Shturmi Sartichala or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SFC Shturmi Sartichala Over 0.5 Goals (FC Samtredia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); SFC Shturmi Sartichala or Draw (1UP) (no result call); SFC Shturmi Sartichala 1UP (no result call); SFC Shturmi Sartichala or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.7%

FC Samtredia goals →

SFC Shturmi Sartichala goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FC SAMTREDIALLWLWLWWWW1.80 PPG

SFC SHTURMI SARTICHALAWLWWDWWLLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC SAMTREDIA HOMExSFC SHTURMI SARTICHALA AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8720%BOTH SCORED40%50%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.482.33CARDS A GAME2.56

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.10POINTS A GAME2.29+1.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.71+4.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.31.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.610LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

FC SAMTREDIA OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

SFC SHTURMI SARTICHALA OR DRAW

36%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC SAMTREDIAxSFC SHTURMI SARTICHALA

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME0.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%0%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Samtredia have scored in 70% of their games.

SFC Shturmi Sartichala have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Samtredia kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

SFC Shturmi Sartichala kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards