FGFCG

15:00Sat 31 Oct

ARA

FC Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Gori have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D L. Aragvi Dusheti have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W L.

The numbers. FC Gori score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Gori average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Aragvi Dusheti score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aragvi Dusheti average 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The case against. Aragvi Dusheti's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. FC Gori to win. Their goals for and against make FC Gori the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FC Gori.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Gori 1-0 Aragvi Dusheti (11% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Gori the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. FC Gori: up and down in the league (W L W D L). Aragvi Dusheti: up and down in the league (D W L W L). Not confident in FC Gori: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 8 of 9 (89%)92%

FC Gori: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 7 of 9 (78%)81.2%

FC Gori: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · ARA 5 of 9 (56%)49%

FC Gori: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

ARAGVI DUSHETI GOALS

Aragvi Dusheti Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 7 of 9 (78%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)46.4%

Aragvi Dusheti scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.9%

FC Gori goals →

Aragvi Dusheti goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FC GORIWLWDLDWWLL1.40 PPG

ARAGVI DUSHETIDWLWLLLDDW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC GORI HOMExARAGVI DUSHETI AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.071.23CONCEDED A GAME1.3760%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.63CORNERS A GAME4.112.33CARDS A GAME2.07

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.55POINTS A GAME1.27+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.36+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES11

FC Gori: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

FC GORI OR DRAW

80%

NO · 80/85

ARAGVI DUSHETI OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC GORIxARAGVI DUSHETI

6GAMES52.17SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.483%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%83%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Gori have scored in 70% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Gori kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards