Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ethiopian Coffee SC are 13th on 3 points after 4 games, level on points with Kedus Giorgis, 1 point clear of Awassa Kenema. A win would take them above Kedus Giorgis. Adama City FC are 8th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Welayta Dicha, level on points with Sheger Ketema. A win would take them above Welayta Dicha.
Form. Ethiopian Coffee SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Adama City FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.
The numbers. Ethiopian Coffee SC score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Ethiopian Coffee SC average 9.1 shots (2.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Adama City FC score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Adama City FC average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ethiopian Coffee SC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Ethiopian Coffee SC won two and Adama City FC won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Ethiopian Coffee SC 3-2 Adama City FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Ethiopian Coffee SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Adama City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Ethiopian Coffee SC 1-1 Adama City FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).