Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tokyo Verdy Beleza have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. RB Omiya Ardija have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Tokyo Verdy Beleza score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Tokyo Verdy Beleza average 10.1 shots (6.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 0.4 cards a game. RB Omiya Ardija score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. RB Omiya Ardija average 12.6 shots (5.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy Beleza 2-1 RB Omiya Ardija (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Tokyo Verdy Beleza the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. RB Omiya Ardija in their last cup games: lost 2-3 at Urawa Red Diamonds (a division above), lost 1-3 at Gainare Tottori (a division below), won 2-0 v Vanraure Hachinohe FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).