Match details. EsW. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Granada CF have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Atletico Madrid W have won four, drawn none and lost one of their last five, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Granada CF score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Granada CF average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Atletico Madrid W score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. Atletico Madrid W average 15.0 shots (6.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
The case against. Granada CF's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Atletico Madrid W to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Madrid W the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Atletico Madrid W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Granada CF 1-2 Atletico Madrid W (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).