Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel.
What's at stake. FC Penafiel are 4th on 16 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Benfica B, 1 point clear of Academica. A win would take them above Benfica B. CD Feirense are 18th on 2 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Felgueiras 1932.
Form. FC Penafiel have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. CD Feirense have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. FC Penafiel score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Penafiel average 12.2 shots (4.7 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Feirense score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Feirense average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Penafiel have won three, drawn none and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CD Feirense won four. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished FC Penafiel 0-1 CD Feirense: FC Penafiel had 13 shots to 10, 68% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Penafiel the likelier winners, but FC Penafiel are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Penafiel; the meetings favour CD Feirense.
The case against. CD Feirense's record still gives them 30% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. FC Penafiel to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Penafiel the likelier winners; FC Penafiel are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Penafiel; the meetings favour CD Feirense. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FC Penafiel to win at 1.90, 88% on the records (the tipsters read FC Penafiel as a clear winner (3 scores) and FC Penafiel are 1.9 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: FC Penafiel or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: FC Penafiel (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Penafiel are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Penafiel are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Penafiel 2-1 CD Feirense (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).