Perth Glory FC vs Wellington Phoenix
Match details. A-League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:45 Lagos time.
Form. Perth Glory FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Wellington Phoenix have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Perth Glory FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Perth Glory FC average 9.6 shots (4.3 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Wellington Phoenix score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Wellington Phoenix average 10.7 shots (4.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Wellington Phoenix's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. Perth Glory FC to win. Wellington Phoenix are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington Phoenix.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Perth Glory FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Perth Glory FC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Perth Glory FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Perth Glory FC 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).