Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva.
What's at stake. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC are 9th on 9 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Maccabi Netanya, 1 point clear of Hapoel Katamon. A win would take them above Maccabi Netanya. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC are 3rd on 19 points after 8 games, level on points with Hapoel Tel Aviv, 1 point clear of Maccabi Haifa. A win would take them above Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Form. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC average 6.2 shots (2.4 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC average 8.8 shots (3.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Maccabi Petah Tikva FC have won two, drawn one and lost six. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Maccabi Petah Tikva FC won one, one was drawn and Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC won two. The last time they met, on 25 Jan 2025, it finished Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 0-1 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Maccabi Petah Tikva FC had 2 shots to 14, 33% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC to win. A tight game. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC; the meetings favour Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 0-1 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).