Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time. It is played at Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima.
What's at stake. Kagoshima United are 1st on 29 points after 13 games, 3 points clear of Ehime FC. Roasso Kumamoto are 5th on 23 points after 13 games, level on points with Osaka, level on points with Nara Club. A win would take them above Osaka.
Form. Kagoshima United have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition Kagoshima United have gone L W W L W D. Roasso Kumamoto have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition Roasso Kumamoto have gone W W W L D W.
The numbers. Kagoshima United score three and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Kagoshima United average 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Roasso Kumamoto score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Roasso Kumamoto average 5.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Kagoshima United have won four, drawn two and lost two. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Kagoshima United won two, one was drawn and Roasso Kumamoto won one. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Kagoshima United 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto.
The case against. Roasso Kumamoto's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Kagoshima United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kagoshima United the likelier winners; Kagoshima United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kagoshima United; the meetings favour Kagoshima United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kagoshima United or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kagoshima United Over 0.5 goals (Roasso Kumamoto's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Kagoshima United 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).