Al Hashemehya vs Al Yarmouk
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Hashemehya have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. Al Yarmouk have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W.
The numbers. Al Hashemehya score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Hashemehya average 7.2 shots (3.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Al Yarmouk score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Al Yarmouk average 10.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Al Hashemehya's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Al Yarmouk to win. A tight game. Al Yarmouk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Yarmouk. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Yarmouk or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Yarmouk or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Yarmouk Over 0.5 Goals (Al Hashemehya's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Al Hashemehya 0-1 Al Yarmouk (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).