Match details. Botola Pro D1. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Difaa Hassani d'el-Jadida have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Union Touarga have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. Difaa Hassani d'el-Jadida score 1.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Difaa Hassani d'el-Jadida average 8.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Union Touarga score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Union Touarga average 9.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Difaa Hassani d'el-Jadida the likelier winners, but Union Touarga are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Union Touarga or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Union Touarga or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Double Chance: Draw or Union Touarga (no result call). Predicted score: Difaa Hassani d'el-Jadida 1-1 Union Touarga (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).