Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 02:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ruben Deras.
What's at stake. CD Choloma are 7th on 13 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Lobos Upnfm, level on points with Olancho. A win would take them above Lobos Upnfm. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa are 1st on 26 points after 11 games, 2 points clear of Real Espana.
Form. CD Choloma have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition CD Choloma have gone W W L W L D. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa have gone W W W W L W.
The numbers. CD Choloma score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Choloma average 4.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa average 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Choloma have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa won four. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished CD Choloma 1-3 CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. CD Choloma's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa to win. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa; the meetings favour CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goals (CD Choloma's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Choloma Under 1.5 goals (CD Choloma's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Choloma 0-1 CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).