PMPEC

13:00Sat 31 Oct

PUS

Pecsi MFC vs Puskas Akademia Felcsut

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. Pecsi MFC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L L W. Puskas Akademia Felcsut have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. Pecsi MFC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pecsi MFC average 3.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Puskas Akademia Felcsut score 4.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Puskas Akademia Felcsut average 9.8 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 57%.

The read. No firm call: Puskas Akademia Felcsut are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Puskas Akademia Felcsut the likelier winners; Puskas Akademia Felcsut are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Puskas Akademia Felcsut. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Pecsi MFC 1-2 Puskas Akademia Felcsut (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Puskas Akademia Felcsut the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Pecsi MFC in their last cup games: won 4-2 v Kisvarda FC (2 divisions above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Puskas Akademia Felcsut or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PUS 8 of 10 (80%) · PEC 4 of 5 (80%)58.7%

Puskas Akademia Felcsut: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pecsi MFC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: only games against sides at Pecsi MFC's level · Pecsi MFC: only games against sides at Puskas Akademia Felcsut's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PEC 5 of 5 (100%) · PUS 10 of 10 (100%)96.7%

Pecsi MFC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Pecsi MFC: only games against sides at Puskas Akademia Felcsut's level · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: only games against sides at Pecsi MFC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PEC 4 of 5 (80%) · PUS 10 of 10 (100%)89.3%

Pecsi MFC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Pecsi MFC: only games against sides at Puskas Akademia Felcsut's level · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: only games against sides at Pecsi MFC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PEC 2 of 5 (40%) · PUS 8 of 10 (80%)61%

Pecsi MFC: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Pecsi MFC: only games against sides at Puskas Akademia Felcsut's level · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: only games against sides at Pecsi MFC's level

PUSKAS AKADEMIA FELCSUT GOALS

Puskas Akademia Felcsut Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PUS 9 of 10 (90%) · PEC 3 of 5 (60%)75%

Puskas Akademia Felcsut scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pecsi MFC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Puskas Akademia Felcsut: only games against sides at Pecsi MFC's level · Pecsi MFC: only games against sides at Puskas Akademia Felcsut's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Puskas Akademia Felcsut Over 1.5 Goals (Pecsi MFC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Pecsi MFC goals →

Puskas Akademia… goals ↓

0-02%

1-02%

2-02%

3-00.8%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-15%

1-17%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-36%

1-38%

2-35%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-44%

1-45%

2-43%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.1%

0-52%

1-53%

2-52%

3-50.7%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PECSI MFCDDLLWWDLWL1.20 PPG

PUSKAS AKADEMIA FELCSUTWWWWLWWDDL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PECSI MFC HOMExPUSKAS AKADEMIA FELCSUT AWAY

1.17SCORED A GAME4.831.58CONCEDED A GAME1.1720%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.44CORNERS A GAME9.781.44CARDS A GAME1.11

TRENDS

Pecsi MFC have scored in 40% of their games.

Puskas Akademia Felcsut have scored in 90% of their games.

Pecsi MFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Puskas Akademia Felcsut kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards