Lobos UPNFM vs CD Genesis PN
Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca.
What's at stake. Lobos UPNFM are 8th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Olancho, 1 point clear of Génesis. A win would take them above Olancho. CD Genesis PN are 9th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Lobos Upnfm, level on points with Atletico Independiente. A win would take them above Lobos Upnfm.
Form. Lobos UPNFM have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Lobos UPNFM have gone L W D W W L. CD Genesis PN have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition CD Genesis PN have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. Lobos UPNFM score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lobos UPNFM average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CD Genesis PN score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Genesis PN average 6.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lobos UPNFM have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Lobos UPNFM won three and CD Genesis PN won one. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished Lobos UPNFM 0-1 CD Genesis PN.
The case against. CD Genesis PN's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Lobos UPNFM or the draw. A tight game. Lobos UPNFM are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 76% on the records (Lobos UPNFM: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CD Genesis PN: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lobos UPNFM 1-1 CD Genesis PN (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).