CSD Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo
Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CSD Liniers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. CA Ituzaingo have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. CSD Liniers score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CSD Liniers average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CA Ituzaingo score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CA Ituzaingo average 3.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. CSD Liniers to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSD Liniers the likelier winners; CSD Liniers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSD Liniers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 73% on the records (CSD Liniers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CA Ituzaingo: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). The safer one: CSD Liniers (Draw No Bet) at 1.10 (74%). Backup: CSD Liniers (Draw No Bet) at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CSD Liniers or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSD Liniers 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CSD Liniers 1-0 CA Ituzaingo (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).