FC Gagra vs FC Rustavi
Match details. Erovnuli Liga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mtskheta Park, Tbilisi, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. FC Gagra are 8th on 30 points after 30 games, 7 points behind Torpedo Kutaisi, 2 points clear of Spaeri. FC Rustavi are 4th on 52 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Dinamo Tbilisi, 12 points clear of Dila. A win would take them level on points with Dinamo Tbilisi. FC Rustavi have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Gagra have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition FC Gagra have gone D L L D L D. FC Rustavi have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition FC Rustavi have gone L W W L W D.
The numbers. FC Gagra score 0.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Gagra average 9.9 shots (4.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. FC Rustavi score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Rustavi average 7.7 shots (3.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Gagra have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Gagra won two, one was drawn and FC Rustavi won one. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2026, it finished FC Gagra 2-1 FC Rustavi.
The case against. FC Gagra's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. FC Rustavi or the draw. A tight game. FC Rustavi are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 82% on the records (FC Gagra: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; FC Rustavi: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Gagra 1-1 FC Rustavi (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).