Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Swindon Town have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. Rotherham United have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. Swindon Town score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Swindon Town average 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Rotherham United score 1.2 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Rotherham United average 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Rotherham United's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Swindon Town to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Swindon Town the likelier winners; Swindon Town are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, 74% on the records (Swindon Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Rotherham United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Swindon Town Over 0.5 goals (Swindon Town's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Swindon Town or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Swindon Town 1-0 Rotherham United (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Swindon Town (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 59%
1.70
SWI 1 of 5 (20%) · ROT 4 of 5 (80%)83%
Swindon Town won 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Rotherham United lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 50% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · won 2, refunded 3, lost 4
Swindon Town or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
SWI 7 of 8 (88%) · ROT 5 of 8 (62%)78.1%
Swindon Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
Swindon Town or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
SWI 3 of 5 (60%) · ROT 4 of 8 (50%)65.8%
Swindon Town scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
Swindon Town to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.35
SWI 1 of 8 (12%) · ROT 3 of 8 (38%)55.5%
Swindon Town won 1 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 25% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.16
SWI 8 of 8 (100%) · ROT 5 of 8 (62%)92.3%
Swindon Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.44
SWI 6 of 8 (75%) · ROT 4 of 8 (50%)77.2%
Swindon Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
SWI 6 of 8 (75%) · ROT 4 of 8 (50%)57.3%
Swindon Town: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rotherham United: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level
ROTHERHAM UNITED GOALS
Rotherham United Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.55
SWI 5 of 8 (62%) · ROT 7 of 8 (88%)76.1%
Rotherham United scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Swindon Town conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Rotherham United: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Rotherham United's level
Left off the list: Swindon Town Over 0.5 goals (Swindon Town's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Swindon Town or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (55%) and the records (38%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.8%
Swindon Town goals →
Rotherham United goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SWINDON TOWNDWDLLDLLLL0.60 PPG
ROTHERHAM UNITEDDDLLLLDDWD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SWINDON TOWN HOMExROTHERHAM UNITED AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.311.23CONCEDED A GAME1.7710%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.691.69CARDS A GAME2.23
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
ROTHERHAM UNITED 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.23POINTS A GAME0.85-0.23GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62-2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.11.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.413LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SWINDON TOWN OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
ROTHERHAM UNITED OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SWINDON TOWNxROTHERHAM UNITED
6GAMES61.67SCORED A GAME0.331.00CONCEDED A GAME1.332.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.783%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS17%83%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Swindon Town have scored in 40% of their games.
Rotherham United have scored in 70% of their games.
Swindon Town kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Rotherham United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards