Match details. League One. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wigan Athletic have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Bromley FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. Wigan Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wigan Athletic average 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Bromley FC score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bromley FC average 3.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The case against. Bromley FC's record still gives them 40% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. Wigan Athletic or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Wigan Athletic are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 75% on the records (Wigan Athletic: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Bromley FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Wigan Athletic Over 0.5 goals (Wigan Athletic's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Wigan Athletic or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Bromley FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).