LEILEI

16:00Sat 31 Oct

STE

Leicester vs Stevenage FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. League One. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Leicester have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Stevenage FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.

The numbers. Leicester score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leicester average 6.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Stevenage FC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Stevenage FC average 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

The case against. Stevenage FC's record still gives them 44% to win.

The read. Leicester or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Leicester the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leicester 2-1 Stevenage FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Leicester or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEI 8 of 8 (100%) · STE 6 of 8 (75%)92.2%

Leicester: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Stevenage FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Leicester: only games against sides at Stevenage FC's level · Stevenage FC: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Leicester or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

LEI 7 of 8 (88%) · STE 6 of 8 (75%)75.8%

Leicester: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Stevenage FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Leicester: only games against sides at Stevenage FC's level · Stevenage FC: only games against sides at Leicester's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

LEI 8 of 8 (100%) · STE 4 of 8 (50%)80.2%

Leicester: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Stevenage FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leicester: only games against sides at Stevenage FC's level · Stevenage FC: only games against sides at Leicester's level

LEICESTER GOALS

Leicester Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

LEI 7 of 8 (88%) · STE 5 of 8 (62%)89.8%

Leicester scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Stevenage FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leicester: only games against sides at Stevenage FC's level · Stevenage FC: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Leicester goals →

Stevenage FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-010%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEICESTERWLWWLLWDWL1.60 PPG

STEVENAGE FCLWLWWWLWWD1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEICESTER HOMExSTEVENAGE FC AWAY

1.67SCORED A GAME1.361.42CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.67CORNERS A GAME4.182.00CARDS A GAME1.55

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.36+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.36+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.61.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.212LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LEICESTER OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

STEVENAGE FC OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEICESTERxSTEVENAGE FC

6GAMES51.50SCORED A GAME1.201.67CONCEDED A GAME1.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%50%BOTH SCORE40%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–13.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Leicester have scored in 90% of their games.

Stevenage FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Leicester kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Stevenage FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards