Match details. National 1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Goal have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. FC Hauts Lyonnais have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.
The numbers. FC Goal score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Goal average 10.2 shots (2.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FC Hauts Lyonnais score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Hauts Lyonnais average 8.3 shots (3.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 52% against the records' 19%.
The read. No firm call: FC Goal are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Goal the likelier winners; FC Goal are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 74% on the records (FC Goal: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Hauts Lyonnais: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Leave: FC Hauts Lyonnais or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Goal); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Goal 1-1 FC Hauts Lyonnais (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).