Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Guerreros Del Pacífico FC are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 2 points clear of Guerreros. Heroes de Zaci FC are 10th on 2 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Ciervos. A win would take them level on points with Ciervos.
Form. Guerreros Del Pacífico FC have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. Heroes de Zaci FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Guerreros Del Pacífico FC score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Guerreros Del Pacífico FC average 9.3 shots (5.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Heroes de Zaci FC score 1.1 and concede 2.8 a game in their last eight away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Guerreros Del Pacífico FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Guerreros Del Pacífico FC the likelier winners; Guerreros Del Pacífico FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guerreros Del Pacífico FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Guerreros Del Pacífico FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Heroes de Zaci FC Under 1.5 goals (Guerreros Del Pacífico FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (Guerreros Del Pacífico FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Guerreros Del Pacífico FC 2-1 Heroes de Zaci FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).