SC Bastia vs Quevilly-Rouen Metropole
Match details. Ligue 3, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.
What's at stake. SC Bastia are 13th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Quevilly, 3 points clear of Valenciennes. A win would take them above Quevilly. Quevilly-Rouen Metropole are 12th on 13 points after 10 games, level on points with Thionville Lusitanos, 1 point clear of Bastia. A win would take them above Thionville Lusitanos.
Form. SC Bastia have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition SC Bastia have gone D D L D W L. Quevilly-Rouen Metropole have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition Quevilly-Rouen Metropole have gone W L D D W D.
The numbers. SC Bastia score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. SC Bastia average 0.6 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Quevilly-Rouen Metropole score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Quevilly-Rouen Metropole average 0.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings SC Bastia have won five, drawn two and lost one. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, SC Bastia won one, two were drawn and Quevilly-Rouen Metropole won one. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2024, it finished SC Bastia 1-0 Quevilly-Rouen Metropole: SC Bastia had 13 shots to 5, 46% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Quevilly-Rouen Metropole's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. SC Bastia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SC Bastia the likelier winners; the meetings favour SC Bastia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 75% on the records (SC Bastia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Quevilly-Rouen Metropole: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Quevilly-Rouen Metropole Over 0.5 goals (Quevilly-Rouen Metropole's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Bastia 1-0 Quevilly-Rouen Metropole (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).