GFGRE

22:30Sun 1 Nov

ATL

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS vs Atletico Mineiro MG

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Copa do Brasil, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre. The referee is Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Atletico Mineiro MG have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.

The numbers. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 10.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 12.8 shots (5.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won five, drawn none and lost five. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won three and Atletico Mineiro MG won one. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0-3 Atletico Mineiro MG: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS had 9 shots to 15, 49% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Atletico Mineiro MG or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1-2 Atletico Mineiro MG (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 4 of 7 (57%)62.3%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 6 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.98

GRE 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 4 of 7 (57%)54.4%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS GOALS

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.38

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)64.2%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

GRE 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)62.6%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG GOALS

Atletico Mineiro MG Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.41

GRE 6 of 7 (86%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)66.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.52

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)76%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)64.8%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)82%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Mineiro MG's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Left off the list: Atletico Mineiro MG or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG 1UP (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG win or both teams score (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.8%

Gremio FB Porto… goals →

Atletico Mineiro MG goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSWLLLDDDLWW1.20 PPG

ATLETICO MINEIRO MGWDWDWWWLLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS HOMExATLETICO MINEIRO MG AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.70CORNERS A GAME5.803.30CARDS A GAME1.90

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.40+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20-2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSxATLETICO MINEIRO MG

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.813.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS 5 · 50%DRAW 0ATLETICO MINEIRO MG 5 · 50%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

9 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-11-04Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1 – 2 Atletico Mineiro MG

2021-12-10Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 4 – 3 Atletico Mineiro MG

2023-07-23Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1 – 0 Atletico Mineiro MG

2023-11-26Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0 – 3 Atletico Mineiro MG

2024-09-01Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 3 Atletico Mineiro MG

2024-10-09Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1 – 2 Atletico Mineiro MG

2025-03-29Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 1 Atletico Mineiro MG

2025-08-17Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 3 – 1 Atletico Mineiro MG

TRENDS

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have scored in 80% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 80% of their games.

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards