Braga vs FC Famalicao
Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal de Braga. The referee is David Rafael Oliveira da Silva.
What's at stake. Braga are 10th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Alverca, 1 point clear of Famalicao. A win would take them above Alverca. FC Famalicao are 11th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind SC Braga, level on points with Estrela. A win would take them above SC Braga.
Form. Braga have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. FC Famalicao have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W.
The numbers. Braga score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Braga average 13.9 shots (5.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. FC Famalicao score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Famalicao average 9.2 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Braga have won four, drawn three and lost two. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Braga won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Braga 2-2 FC Famalicao: Braga had 10 shots to 6, 69% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Braga the likelier winners, but FC Famalicao are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Braga.
The case against. FC Famalicao's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Braga or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Braga the likelier winners; FC Famalicao are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Braga. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Braga 2-1 FC Famalicao (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).