Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu. The referee is Joao Goncalves.
What's at stake. Academico de Viseu FC are 6th on 17 points after 9 games, level on points with Arouca, 3 points clear of GIL Vicente. A win would take them above Arouca. Rio Ave FC are 16th on 7 points after 9 games, level on points with Nacional, level on points with Casa Pia. A win would take them above Nacional.
Form. Academico de Viseu FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Rio Ave FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. Academico de Viseu FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Academico de Viseu FC average 8.9 shots (3.1 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Rio Ave FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Rio Ave FC average 6.4 shots (2.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Academico de Viseu FC have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Jul 2023, it finished Academico de Viseu FC 0-3 Rio Ave FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Rio Ave FC's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Academico de Viseu FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Academico de Viseu FC the likelier winners; Academico de Viseu FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Academico de Viseu FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Academico de Viseu FC to win at 1.87, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Academico de Viseu FC as a clear winner (4 scores) and Academico de Viseu FC are 1.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: Academico de Viseu FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.36. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Academico de Viseu FC (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Academico de Viseu FC 2-1 Rio Ave FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).