Alianza Lima vs Cienciano

Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima. The referee is Sebastian Lozano.

What's at stake. Alianza Lima are 8th on 25 points after 14 games, level on points with Juan Pablo II College, 1 point clear of Sport Boys. A win would take them above Juan Pablo II College. Cienciano are 12th on 17 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Atletico Grau, 2 points clear of Comerciantes Unidos. A win would take them above Atletico Grau.

Form. Alianza Lima have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Alianza Lima have gone L W W W W L. Cienciano have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Cienciano have gone W L W W D L.

The numbers. Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Alianza Lima average 16.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Cienciano score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cienciano average 22.0 shots (7.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alianza Lima have won five, drawn two and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alianza Lima won two and Cienciano won two. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Alianza Lima 1-0 Cienciano.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No firm call: Alianza Lima are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Alianza Lima the likelier winners; Alianza Lima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alianza Lima. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Alianza Lima: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Cienciano: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Cienciano Under 1.5 Goals at 1.19. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Alianza Lima Over 1.5 goals (Alianza Lima's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Alianza Lima 2-1 Cienciano (10% chance).