Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia. The referee is Matteo Marcenaro.
What's at stake. Sassuolo are 15th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Lecce, 1 point clear of Monza. A win would take them above Lecce. Fiorentina are 17th on 5 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Monza, level on points with Parma. A win would take them above Monza.
Team news. Sassuolo are without D. Boloca (muscle injury), I. Kone (broken leg), F. Leysen (knee injury), Y. Paz (knee injury), K. Thorstvedt (red card), D. Boloca (muscle injury). Fiorentina are without A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury), M. Pongracic (muscle injury), L. Ranieri (leg injury), R. Sottil (back injury), A. Atta (abdominal strain).
Form. Sassuolo have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D.
The numbers. Sassuolo score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sassuolo average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Fiorentina score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fiorentina average 14.6 shots (5.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sassuolo have won four, drawn three and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Sassuolo won two, one was drawn and Fiorentina won one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Sassuolo 0-0 Fiorentina: Sassuolo had 11 shots to 22, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Sassuolo's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Fiorentina or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Sassuolo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Sassuolo: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Fiorentina or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sassuolo 1-2 Fiorentina (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fiorentina or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAS 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)90.8%
Fiorentina: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Fiorentina or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
SAS 8 of 9 (89%) · FIO 8 of 9 (89%)86.7%
Fiorentina: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Fiorentina win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.18
SAS 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)86.7%
Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Fiorentina or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
SAS 3 of 5 (60%) · FIO 5 of 9 (56%)64.4%
Fiorentina scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Fiorentina or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
SAS 5 of 9 (56%) · FIO 2 of 9 (22%)50.9%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 2 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 39% · H2H 3 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
Fiorentina 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
SAS 2 of 5 (40%) · FIO 4 of 9 (44%)50.4%
Fiorentina scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo trailed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
SAS 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)88.6%
Sassuolo: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
SAS 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 8 of 9 (89%)66.3%
Sassuolo: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
SAS 8 of 9 (89%) · FIO 7 of 9 (78%)63.5%
Sassuolo: both scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
SASSUOLO GOALS
Sassuolo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
SAS 8 of 9 (89%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)73.5%
Sassuolo scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
FIORENTINA GOALS
Fiorentina Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
SAS 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)81.5%
Fiorentina scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.17
SAS 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)91.7%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
SAS 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 7 of 9 (78%)79.2%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.32
SAS 6 of 9 (67%) · FIO 7 of 9 (78%)75%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
2nd Half - Fiorentina Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.54
SAS 6 of 9 (67%) · FIO 8 of 9 (89%)70.8%
Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sassuolo: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
SAS 6 of 9 (67%) · FIO 5 of 9 (56%)66.7%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level
OTHER
Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & YesSETTLEDIN CODES
1.70
SAS 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 6 of 9 (67%)70.4%
Sassuolo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sassuolo: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Sassuolo's level · rule 1: it landed in 7 of the last 10 meetings
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Fiorentina or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.8%
Sassuolo goals →
Fiorentina goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SASSUOLOLWDDWLDLLL0.90 PPG
FIORENTINALLLWWDLLLD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SASSUOLO HOMExFIORENTINA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.402.30CONCEDED A GAME2.100%CLEAN SHEETS10%11%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.20CORNERS A GAME4.901.60CARDS A GAME2.201.27xG1.621.83xG AGAINST1.35
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.89POINTS A GAME0.56-0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11-1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.00.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.49LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
SASSUOLO OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
FIORENTINA OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SASSUOLOxFIORENTINA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.203.00CONCEDED A GAME2.004.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE100%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.48.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
SASSUOLO 4 · 40%DRAW 3FIORENTINA 3 · 30%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-12-16Sassuolo 1 – 1 Fiorentina
2021-04-17Sassuolo 3 – 1 Fiorentina
2021-12-19Sassuolo 2 – 2 Fiorentina
2022-02-26Sassuolo 2 – 1 Fiorentina
2023-01-07Sassuolo 1 – 2 Fiorentina
2023-06-02Sassuolo 1 – 3 Fiorentina
2024-01-06Sassuolo 1 – 0 Fiorentina
2024-04-28Sassuolo 1 – 5 Fiorentina
TEAM NEWS
SASSUOLO
Out: D. Boloca (Muscle Injury), I. Kone (Broken Leg), F. Leysen (Knee Injury), Y. Paz (Knee Injury), K. Thorstvedt (Red Card), D. Boloca (Muscle Injury)
FIORENTINA
Out: A. Atta (Abdominal strain), F. Parisi (Knee Injury), M. Pongracic (Muscle Injury), L. Ranieri (Leg Injury), R. Sottil (Back Injury), A. Atta (Abdominal strain)
TRENDS
Sassuolo have scored in 90% of their games.
Fiorentina have scored in 80% of their games.
Sassuolo kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Fiorentina kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards