Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. The referee is Dario Madonia.
What's at stake. Empoli are 19th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sampdoria, 1 point clear of Catanzaro. A win would take them above Sampdoria. Juve Stabia are 17th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Vicenza Virtus, level on points with Sampdoria. A win would take them above Vicenza Virtus.
Form. Empoli have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Juve Stabia have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D.
The numbers. Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Empoli average 8.3 shots (3.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Juve Stabia score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Juve Stabia average 13.0 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Empoli have won one, drawn none and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2026, it finished Empoli 1-2 Juve Stabia: Empoli had 12 shots to 9, 44% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Empoli's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Juve Stabia to win. A tight game. Juve Stabia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Juve Stabia; the meetings favour Juve Stabia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 75% on the records (Empoli: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Juve Stabia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Juve Stabia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Juve Stabia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Empoli 0-1 Juve Stabia (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).