ARGENTINA - PRIMERA B
20:00Sat 31 Oct
ARS
AD
Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal de Sarandi
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Deportivo Merlo v Arsenal de Sarandi
1.16odds
86%book
-10edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Deportivo Merlo have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Arsenal de Sarandi have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Deportivo Merlo score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Deportivo Merlo average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Arsenal de Sarandi score 1.6 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Arsenal de Sarandi average 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Deportivo Merlo's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Arsenal de Sarandi to win. A tight game. Arsenal de Sarandi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arsenal de Sarandi. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Deportivo Merlo: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Arsenal de Sarandi: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Arsenal de Sarandi or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Merlo 0-1 Arsenal de Sarandi (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Arsenal de Sarandi or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.11
DEP 9 of 10 (90%) · ARS 3 of 5 (60%)77.5%
Arsenal de Sarandi: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Merlo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level
Double Chance: Draw or Arsenal de SarandiPAGE ONLY
1.28
DEP 8 of 10 (80%) · ARS 3 of 5 (60%)75.2%
Arsenal de Sarandi unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Merlo failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level
Arsenal de Sarandi or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.19
DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARS 8 of 10 (80%)73.3%
Arsenal de Sarandi scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Merlo trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level
Arsenal de Sarandi (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
DEP 7 of 9 (78%) · ARS 5 of 7 (71%)71%
Arsenal de Sarandi won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Deportivo Merlo lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · won 2, refunded 3, lost 4
Arsenal de Sarandi or draw and under 3.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · ARS 7 of 10 (70%)70%
Deportivo Merlo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ARS 10 of 10 (100%)97.1%
Deportivo Merlo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ARS 9 of 10 (90%)76.2%
Deportivo Merlo: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
DEP 2 of 5 (40%) · ARS 6 of 10 (60%)54%
Deportivo Merlo: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level
DEPORTIVO MERLO GOALS
Deportivo Merlo Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · ARS 9 of 10 (90%)69.1%
Deportivo Merlo scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Arsenal de Sarandi conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level
ARSENAL DE SARANDI GOALS
Arsenal de Sarandi Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
DEP 8 of 10 (80%) · ARS 3 of 5 (60%)73%
Arsenal de Sarandi scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Merlo conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Arsenal de Sarandi: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at Arsenal de Sarandi's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 10.2%
Deportivo Merlo goals →
Arsenal de Sarandi goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTIVO MERLOLWDDLWLDLL0.90 PPG
ARSENAL DE SARANDIWDWLWLWWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTIVO MERLO HOMExARSENAL DE SARANDI AWAY
0.95SCORED A GAME1.341.32CONCEDED A GAME0.6620%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.90CORNERS A GAME5.022.74CARDS A GAME2.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DEPORTIVO MERLO 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.09POINTS A GAME1.93-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.73-4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES15
Arsenal de Sarandi: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
ARSENAL DE SARANDI 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DEPORTIVO MERLO OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
ARSENAL DE SARANDI OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DEPORTIVO MERLOxARSENAL DE SARANDI
5GAMES71.60SCORED A GAME0.571.20CONCEDED A GAME0.712.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.380%OVER 1.5 GOALS29%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%80%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Deportivo Merlo have scored in 40% of their games.
Arsenal de Sarandi have scored in 80% of their games.
Deportivo Merlo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Arsenal de Sarandi kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards