Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria. The referee is Ricardo Baixinho.
What's at stake. UD Leiria are 10th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Vizela, 1 point clear of Leixoes. A win would take them above Vizela. AVS Futebol SAD are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Benfica B, level on points with Tondela. A win would take them above Benfica B.
Form. UD Leiria have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. AVS Futebol SAD have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. UD Leiria score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Leiria average 11.9 shots (4.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AVS Futebol SAD score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AVS Futebol SAD average 10.0 shots (3.3 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Head to head. AVS Futebol SAD have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2024, it finished UD Leiria 1-2 AVS Futebol SAD: UD Leiria had 14 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Leiria 1-1 AVS Futebol SAD (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).