FAFCA

16:30Sun 1 Nov

NAC

FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES

MATCH RESULT

Class A

FAv

FC Arouca to Win

FC Arouca v Nacional da Madeira

Portugal - Liga Portugal · 16:30

1.78odds

56%book

+32edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Aruca. The referee is Luis Miguel Branco Godinho.

What's at stake. FC Arouca are 5th on 17 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Santa Clara, level on points with Academico Viseu. A win would take them above Santa Clara. Nacional da Madeira are 15th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Maritimo, level on points with Rio Ave. A win would take them above Maritimo.

Form. FC Arouca have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Nacional da Madeira have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. FC Arouca score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Arouca average 11.0 shots (4.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Nacional da Madeira score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Nacional da Madeira average 9.2 shots (3.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Arouca have won six, drawn three and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Arouca won four. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished FC Arouca 3-0 Nacional da Madeira: FC Arouca had 10 shots to 15, 61% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

The case against. Nacional da Madeira's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. FC Arouca to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Arouca the likelier winners; FC Arouca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arouca; the meetings favour FC Arouca. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: FC Arouca to win at 1.78, 88% on the records (the tipsters read FC Arouca as a clear winner (3 scores) and FC Arouca are 1.5 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: FC Arouca Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Arouca Over 1.5 goals (FC Arouca's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Arouca are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Arouca are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Arouca 2-1 Nacional da Madeira (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: FC Arouca or DrawIN CODES

1.16

FCA 7 of 9 (78%) · NAC 7 of 9 (78%)89.5%

FC Arouca unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

FC Arouca (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.37

FCA 5 of 7 (71%) · NAC 6 of 8 (75%)88.6%

FC Arouca won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Nacional da Madeira lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 5 · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 1

FC Arouca to WinMAINHELD · the odds board 56%

1.78

FCA 21 of 24 (88%) · NAC 67% of 987.5%

the tipsters read FC Arouca as a clear winner (3 scores) and FC Arouca are 1.5 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won

FC Arouca to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.42

FCA 7 of 9 (78%) · NAC 6 of 9 (67%)75%

FC Arouca: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

FC Arouca 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

FCA 2 of 5 (40%) · NAC 5 of 9 (56%)72.7%

FC Arouca scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

1X2 - 2UP: FC AroucaLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

FCA 2 of 5 (40%) · NAC 5 of 9 (56%)72.7%

FC Arouca scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira trailed by 2 or lost in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

FCA 5 of 9 (56%) · NAC 7 of 9 (78%)69.2%

FC Arouca: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

FC AROUCA GOALS

FC Arouca Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.15

FCA 7 of 9 (78%) · NAC 7 of 9 (78%)85.7%

FC Arouca scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

NACIONAL DA MADEIRA GOALS

Nacional da Madeira Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

FCA 5 of 9 (56%) · NAC 6 of 9 (67%)82.7%

Nacional da Madeira scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arouca conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 5 of 6 · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCA 7 of 8 (88%) · NAC 9 of 9 (100%)93.8%

FC Arouca's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC Arouca: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at FC Arouca's level

Left off the list: FC Arouca Over 1.5 goals (FC Arouca's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Arouca are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Arouca are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

FC Arouca goals →

Nacional da Madeira goals ↓

0-07%

1-012%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.8%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC AROUCAWDWDLDWLWW1.80 PPG

NACIONAL DA MADEIRAWLLLLLLLWD0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC AROUCA HOMExNACIONAL DA MADEIRA AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.110.78CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%CLEAN SHEETS20%22%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.11CORNERS A GAME4.332.56CARDS A GAME1.601.39xG1.061.15xG AGAINST1.88

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.89POINTS A GAME0.43+0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.43+0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES7

FC Arouca: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC AROUCA TO SCORE

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

FC AROUCA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

DOUBLE CHANCE: FC AROUCA OR DRAW

–

58 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

FC AROUCA 1UP

–

49 OF 55

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC AROUCA OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

NACIONAL DA MADEIRA OR DRAW

21%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC AROUCAxNACIONAL DA MADEIRA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.401.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.68.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FC AROUCA 6 · 60%DRAW 3NACIONAL DA MADEIRA 1 · 10%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-01-02FC Arouca 2 – 2 Nacional da Madeira

2016-05-01FC Arouca 3 – 0 Nacional da Madeira

2016-08-21FC Arouca 2 – 0 Nacional da Madeira

2017-01-28FC Arouca 1 – 1 Nacional da Madeira

2017-12-22FC Arouca 2 – 2 Nacional da Madeira

2018-05-06FC Arouca 0 – 1 Nacional da Madeira

2024-08-25FC Arouca 1 – 0 Nacional da Madeira

2025-02-01FC Arouca 2 – 1 Nacional da Madeira

TRENDS

FC Arouca have scored in 80% of their games.

Nacional da Madeira have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Arouca kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Nacional da Madeira kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards