Match details. Superleague, Women. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CSKA Moscow have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. ZFK Krasnodar have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.
The numbers. CSKA Moscow score 2.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. CSKA Moscow average 6.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. ZFK Krasnodar score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. ZFK Krasnodar average 3.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: CSKA Moscow are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSKA Moscow the likelier winners; CSKA Moscow are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSKA Moscow. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CSKA Moscow Over 1.5 Goals (ZFK Krasnodar's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1-0 ZFK Krasnodar (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).