Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Cusco FC are 9th on 24 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Alianza Atletico, 3 points clear of Sport Boys. A win would take them above Alianza Atletico. Sport Boys Association are 10th on 21 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Cusco, 3 points clear of Atletico Grau. A win would take them level on points with Cusco.
Form. Cusco FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Cusco FC have gone W W L L W L. Sport Boys Association have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Sport Boys Association have gone W L L D W L.
The numbers. Cusco FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Cusco FC average 14.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Sport Boys Association score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Sport Boys Association average 13.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cusco FC have won four, drawn one and lost five. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Cusco FC won three and Sport Boys Association won one. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Cusco FC 0-1 Sport Boys Association: Cusco FC had 7 shots to 20, 52% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: Cusco FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Cusco FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cusco FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cusco FC 2-1 Sport Boys Association (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).