TDTIG

03:30Sat 31 Oct

TAP

Tigres de Alica FC vs Tapachula Soconusco FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Tigres de Alica FC are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Reboceros La Piedad, level on points with Jaguares de Chiapas. A win would take them above Reboceros La Piedad. Tapachula Soconusco FC are 15th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Cordobés, 2 points clear of H2O Purepechas. A win would take them above Cordobés.

Form. Tigres de Alica FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Tapachula Soconusco FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Tigres de Alica FC score two and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Tigres de Alica FC average 6.9 shots (2.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Tapachula Soconusco FC score 0.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tapachula Soconusco FC average 8.7 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 86% against the records' 65%.

The read. No firm call: Tigres de Alica FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tigres de Alica FC the likelier winners; Tigres de Alica FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tigres de Alica FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tigres de Alica FC 2-1 Tapachula Soconusco FC (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Tigres de Alica FC the favourite), an open game.

The league run. Tigres de Alica FC: up and down in the league (L W L W D). Tapachula Soconusco FC: up and down in the league (W L L L L). Not confident in Tigres de Alica FC: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tigres de Alica FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 5 of 5 (100%) · TAP 6 of 8 (75%)67.6%

Tigres de Alica FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

Tigres de Alica FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 3 of 5 (60%) · TAP 4 of 7 (57%)60.2%

Tigres de Alica FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

Tigres de Alica FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 3 of 5 (60%) · TAP 6 of 8 (75%)54.2%

Tigres de Alica FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

2nd Half - Draw No Bet: Tigres de Alica FCHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

TIG 4 of 5 (80%) · TAP 3 of 5 (60%)52%

Tigres de Alica FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level · won 5, refunded 5, lost 0

Tigres de Alica FC to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

TIG 3 of 5 (60%) · TAP 6 of 8 (75%)46.7%

Tigres de Alica FC won 3 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

Tigres de Alica FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 2 of 5 (40%) · TAP 3 of 7 (43%)46.2%

Tigres de Alica FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 5 of 5 (100%) · TAP 8 of 8 (100%)92.8%

Tigres de Alica FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 4 of 5 (80%) · TAP 7 of 8 (88%)81.1%

Tigres de Alica FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.91

TIG 3 of 5 (60%) · TAP 4 of 8 (50%)53.3%

Tigres de Alica FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

TIGRES DE ALICA FC GOALS

Tigres de Alica FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 5 of 5 (100%) · TAP 6 of 8 (75%)82%

Tigres de Alica FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Tapachula Soconusco FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TIG 4 of 7 (57%) · TAP 7 of 8 (88%)72.3%

Tigres de Alica FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Tigres de Alica FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Tigres de Alica FC's level

Left off the list: Tigres de Alica FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the numbers (47%) and the records (73%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

Tigres de Alica FC goals →

Tapachula Soconusco FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TIGRES DE ALICA FCWWWLDDWLWL1.70 PPG

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FCLDLLWLLLLW0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TIGRES DE ALICA FC HOMExTAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME0.901.10CONCEDED A GAME2.2020%CLEAN SHEETS20%11%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.88CORNERS A GAME4.001.50CARDS A GAME2.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME0.75+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.50+0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES8

Tigres de Alica FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

TIGRES DE ALICA FC 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

TIGRES DE ALICA FC OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC OR DRAW

24%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TIGRES DE ALICA FCxTAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME2.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Tigres de Alica FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Tapachula Soconusco FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Tigres de Alica FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Tapachula Soconusco FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards