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ETHIOPIA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Sheger Ketema crestSKSHE
13:00Fri 30 Oct
NEGNegelle Arsi crestNA

Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
79
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Class D
Sheger Ketema crestSKvNegelle Arsi crestNA
Both Teams to Score - No
Sheger Ketema v Negelle Arsi
Ethiopia - Premier… · 13:00
1.47odds
68%book
+11edge
4/4angles
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Sheger Ketema are 7th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Welayta Dicha, level on points with Adama Kenema. A win would take them above Welayta Dicha. Negelle Arsi are 2nd on 8 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Mekelakeya, level on points with Ethiopia Nigd Bank. A win would take them above Mekelakeya.

Form. Sheger Ketema have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Negelle Arsi have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.

The numbers. Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sheger Ketema average 7.3 shots (2.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Negelle Arsi score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Negelle Arsi average 6.6 shots (2.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Sheger Ketema have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Sheger Ketema 1-1 Negelle Arsi.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.

The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - No at 1.47, 79% on the records (Sheger Ketema: not both scored in 9 of 10; Negelle Arsi: not both scored in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sheger Ketema or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Negelle Arsi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 0-0 Negelle Arsi (20% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SHE 10 of 10 (100%) · NEG 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Sheger Ketema: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SHE 10 of 10 (100%) · NEG 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Sheger Ketema: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SHE 9 of 10 (90%) · NEG 6 of 6 (100%)95%
Sheger Ketema: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.32
SHE 9 of 10 (90%) · NEG 4 of 6 (67%)78.9%
Sheger Ketema: under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoMAININ CODES
1.47
SHE 9 of 10 (90%) · NEG 4 of 6 (67%)78.9%
Sheger Ketema: not both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi: not both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SHE 6 of 7 (86%) · NEG 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%
Sheger Ketema's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Negelle Arsi's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 93% · Sheger Ketema: only games against sides at Negelle Arsi's level · Negelle Arsi: only games against sides at Sheger Ketema's level
Left off the list: Sheger Ketema or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Negelle Arsi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–0 19.9%
Sheger Ketema goals →
Negelle Arsi goals ↓
0-020%
1-016%
2-07%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-114%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-26%
1-25%
2-22%
3-20.6%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-32%
1-31%
2-30.6%
3-30.2%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.3%
1-40.3%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SHEGER KETEMALWDLWWWDLD1.50 PPG
NEGELLE ARSIDDWDWLDDWW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SHEGER KETEMA HOMExNEGELLE ARSI AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME0.6060%CLEAN SHEETS60%50%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.86CORNERS A GAME3.702.14CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
SHEGER KETEMA 0 · 0%DRAW 2NEGELLE ARSI 0 · 0%
2025-12-02Sheger Ketema 2 – 2 Negelle Arsi
2026-04-13Sheger Ketema 1 – 1 Negelle Arsi
TRENDS
Sheger Ketema have scored in 50% of their games.
Negelle Arsi have scored in 60% of their games.
Sheger Ketema kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Negelle Arsi kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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