Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Sheger Ketema are 7th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Welayta Dicha, level on points with Adama Kenema. A win would take them above Welayta Dicha. Negelle Arsi are 2nd on 8 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Mekelakeya, level on points with Ethiopia Nigd Bank. A win would take them above Mekelakeya.
Form. Sheger Ketema have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Negelle Arsi have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sheger Ketema average 7.3 shots (2.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Negelle Arsi score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Negelle Arsi average 6.6 shots (2.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Sheger Ketema have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Sheger Ketema 1-1 Negelle Arsi.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.
The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - No at 1.47, 79% on the records (Sheger Ketema: not both scored in 9 of 10; Negelle Arsi: not both scored in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sheger Ketema or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Negelle Arsi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 0-0 Negelle Arsi (20% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).